Best in Energy – 27 July 2022

[MUST READ] Germany cuts ammonia production to save gas

[MUST READ] Critical minerals recovery from waste streams

Japan strikes benchmark coal deal at $375/tonne ($BBG)

Germany to subsidise energy efficiency renovations

IMF downgrades global economy forecasts

Pakistan raises electricity prices

U.S./Russia oil price cap ($FT)

U.S. uranium import reliance

CYCLICAL INDICATORS: three of the top five stories featured on the front page of the Wall Street Journal on Wednesday are about slower sales, slower corporate earnings and slower hiring:

CATERPILLAR’s share price in the three months from May to July was down by -13% compared with the same period a year ago. The heavy equipment manufacturer’s share price has been closely correlated with the OECD’s leading economic indicator. The slump is consistent with the onset of a business cycle slowdown:

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Best in Energy – 11 May 2022

India’s railways struggle to transport enough coal

India relaxes coal mine environmental rules ($BBG)

Ukraine cuts Russian pipeline gas flows to Europe

Global mining is central to future energy system

BlackRock updates energy-climate investor principles

Germany plans for disruption of Russian gas supply

U.S. ammonia prices increase with global gas prices

Nigeria subsidises fuel to keep aircraft flying ($BBG)

China forecasts record rain along south coast (trans.)

China issues flood warnings along the Yangtze (trans.)

China hydro generation rises on heavy rains ($BBG)

U.K. threatens energy majors with windfall tax ($FT)

U.S. inflation – how prices are really measured ($WSJ)

CHINA generated a record 221 TWh of hydro electricity in the first three months of the year, up from 196 TWh in the same period in 2021, relieving pressure on coal and gas inventories and prices:

U.S. EQUITY PRICES signal investors expect an imminent business cyclical slowdown – either a mid-cycle soft patch or an end-of-cycle recession. The S&P 500 index is down by almost 5% compared with the end of May 2021 and down by more than 11% in real terms: