Best in Energy – 6 January 2023

U.K. windfarms provided almost 27% of electricity in 2022

Ukraine calls for power conservation as temperatures fall

New England power generators replenish distillate stocks ¹

New England grid’s event summary for Dec 24 emergency ²

China’s crude buying tightens supplies for Europe ($BBG)

Venezuela’s oil exports fell again in 2022

U.S. warehouse leasing falls as goods demand slows ($WSJ)

Europe’s gas futures prices fall on plentiful stocks ($WSJ)

Australia/China to resume coal shipments after diplomacy

¹ Distillate fuel oil is an important fuel source for electricity generators designed to serve peak loads and provide emergency reserves. New England is particularly reliant on distillate to provide reserve generation and distillate units were heavily used during cold weather around Christmas. In the rest of the country, distillate is also used as lighting-up fuel for coal-fired units, which were heavily used during the extreme cold. Coal will not ignite on its own and distillate is sprayed into the furnace to provide initial combustion, heat up the furnace, establish air circulation, and support the combustion process until the flame is stabilised. As the coal combustion becomes self-sustaining, the distillate burners are gradually shut off.

² Failure of generators to start when instructed by the grid contributed to the shortfall in capacity in New England ISO region on December 24, as in other areas. Scheduled generation of 2,150 MW became unavailable. Failure to start remains one of the biggest problems for electric reliability during extreme cold events.

EUROPE’s gas futures prices no longer command a premium over futures for deliveries into Northeast Asia. Europe’s prices have fallen much more rapidly than Asia’s as fears of a winter emergency have faded. Europe’s futures are now trading at a slight discount for the first time since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022. European importers are no longer paying a premium to attract cargoes which should leave more LNG cargoes available for consumers in Northeast and South Asia:

U.S. DISTILLATE STOCKS fell -1.4 million bbl over the seven days to December 30 (including drawdown of -0.7 million bbl in New England). Inventories were probably pulled forward along the supply chain to homes, offices and power generators as a result of extreme cold around Christmas:

Published by

John Kemp

Energy analyst, public policy specialist, amateur historian